How I Outsmarted a FiveThirtyEight Forecasting Algorithm
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Models Based on 'Fundamentals' Have Failed at Predicting Presidential Elections
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Models Based on 'Fundamentals' Have Failed at Predicting Presidential Elections
Models Based on 'Fundamentals' Have Failed at Predicting Presidential Elections
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How I Outsmarted a FiveThirtyEight Forecasting Algorithm, by David Glidden
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Reverse-engineering the problematic tail behavior of the Fivethirtyeight presidential election forecast
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Flowchart of the proposed forecasting algorithm.
Flowchart of forecast algorithm.
Forecasting the 2020 NFL Season in a Pandemic, by David Glidden
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24003984/Screen_Shot_2022_09_07_at_4.57.23_PM.png "Latest FiveThirtyFight model has bold Russell Wilson projection")
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